Technology
Technology: AI reshapes the deal landscape.
Technology M&A surged 66% year-over-year to approximately $1.08 trillion in 2025, driven by AI infrastructure, cybersecurity consolidation, and data center capacity. The sector accounted for 30% of global deal value with 26 megadeals—the highest of any industry.
The defining characteristic of the current cycle is the bifurcation between AI-native and legacy technology assets. Companies with genuine AI capabilities—proprietary models, specialized infrastructure, measurable AI-driven revenue—command 12–15x EBITDA multiples, a 40% increase from 2024. Traditional software companies facing disruption from AI alternatives trade at compressed multiples, creating a widening valuation gap.
AI and infrastructure
The four largest hyperscalers—Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta—deployed over $350 billion in AI-related capital expenditure in 2025. This investment cascade is pulling M&A activity toward compute infrastructure, data center assets, and the companies that enable AI workloads at scale. BlackRock and MGX’s $40 billion acquisition of Aligned Data Centers was among the largest private infrastructure deals in history. At the lower end of the market, acquirers are targeting applied AI companies—vertical-specific platforms, agentic AI tools, and workflow automation solutions—where recurring revenue models and enterprise adoption create clear valuation anchors. These are the businesses most relevant to founders in the lower middle market AI space.
Cybersecurity
Cybersecurity M&A set records with 234 transactions through Q3 2025, totaling $63.3 billion in disclosed deal value. Palo Alto Networks’ $25 billion acquisition of CyberArk and Google’s $32 billion deal for Wiz reflected the push toward integrated, AI-ready security platforms. Cybersecurity companies with genuine AI capabilities now command 12–14x revenue multiples, a 25% premium over traditional security software.
Enterprise software and SaaS
Vertical SaaS companies with durable revenue models and strong unit economics remain highly attractive acquisition targets. The market favors businesses where AI augments existing capabilities rather than threatening to replace them. Private equity accounted for over $17 billion in technology deal value in Q1 2025 alone, and platform acquisitions followed by bolt-on strategies continue to be the dominant PE playbook in the sector.